Dorian forecast to strengthen into major hurricane

29 Aug 2019 / Bahamas

At 500am AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Dorian was located near latitude 20.5 North, longitude 66.6 West. Dorian is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Friday. A west-northwestward motion is forecast to begin Friday night and continue into the weekend.

On this track, Dorian should move over the Atlantic well east of the southeastern and central Bahamas today and on Friday, and approach the northwestern Bahamas on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Dorian is expected to become a major hurricane on Friday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)…

RAINFALL:
Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations this weekend into early next week:
- Central Bahamas: 2-4 inches, isolated 6 inches
- Northwestern Bahamas & coastal sections of southeast United States: 4-8 inches, isolated 12 inches.
This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods.

SURF:
Swells around the U.S. and British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico should gradually diminish today. Swells are likely to begin affecting the east-facing shores of the Bahamas and the southeastern United States coast during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

(For information about operations in the Americas, contact the GAC Houston Hub Agency Center at [email protected])

Source: National Hurricane Center, Miami FL, Hurricane Dorian Advisory No.20 issued at 500am AST on 29 August 2019

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