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31 Jul 2015

Tropical waves conditions

Disturbance 17 is a strong tropical wave southeast of the Cape Verde Islands. The system is moving to the west near 20 kts (23 mph). Dry dusty air from the Sahara will keep development chances below 10 percent over the next 3 to 4 days as the system continues its westward motion through the Atlantic. In 5 to 6 days, the system will move into a slightly more favorable environment as it tracks near the Lesser Antilles. Therefore, development chances within the 5 to 7 day time frame increase to 20 percent. The disturbance is expected to reach the western Caribbean in about 9 to 10 days where conditions could be quite favorable for development. From there, the system could move into the southern Gulf of Mexico or Bay of Campeche by the August 21st to 24th time frame. More tropical waves are expected to move into the eastern Atlantic behind disturbance 17. The frontal boundary off the Carolina coast still needs to be monitored. Although there are no indications of organization within the area of thunderstorms associated with the front, such weather systems can occasionally develop into tropical cyclones. Areas of thunderstorms will move east-northeast to northeast along the frontal boundary over the next few days. Development chances are low. Disturbance 16 is a weak tropical wave in the western Caribbean that could cause more heavy thunderstorms for Cuba and Jamaica today. The system is moving to the west near 17 kts (20 mph). No development is expected. Disturbance 18 has been recognized as a weak tropical wave near the Lesser Antilles. It is producing some showers and storms over the Lesser Antilles as it moves westward near 18 kts (21 mph). Development is not expected. For further information about our operations in the Americas, contact GAC at [email protected]. Source: Louisiana Maritime Association

If quoting any content from Hot Port News, please cite GAC Hot Port News as the source.

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