Nicole now over central Florida

10 Nov 2022 / Florida, United States

At 700am EST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nicole was located inland over central Florida near latitude 28.1 North, longitude 81.6 West. Nicole is moving toward the west-northwest near 14mph (22 km/h).

A turn toward the northwest and north-northwest is expected later today and tonight, followed by an acceleration toward the north and north-northeast on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Nicole will move across central Florida this morning, possibly emerge over the far northeastern Gulf of Mexico this afternoon, and then move across the Florida Panhandle and Georgia tonight and on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast while Nicole moves over land during the next day or two, and the storm is likely to become a tropical depression over Georgia tonight or early Friday.

Nicole is expected to merge with a frontal boundary over the Mid-Atlantic United States by Friday night.

Nicole remains a large tropical storm. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 450 miles (720 km) from the center, especially to the north. Daytona Beach, Florida, recently reported sustained winds of 49 mph (80 km/h) with a wind gust of 70 mph (113 km/h)…

…Tropical storm conditions will continue along portions of the east coast of Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina in the warning areas today. Tropical storm conditions are expected to occur within the warning area along the west coast of Florida through tonight.

The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide:
* Jupiter Inlet Florida to Altamaha Sound Georgia including the St. Johns River to the Fuller Warren Bridge: 3-5 ft
* Anclote River to Ochlockonee River: 3-5 ft
* Altamaha Sound Georgia to the South Santee River South Carolina: 2-4 ft
* St. Johns River south of the Fuller Warren Bridge to Georgetown Florida: 2-4 ft
* Ochlockonee River to Indian Pass: 2-4 ft
* Englewood to Anclote River including Tampa Bay: 1-3 ft
* Jupiter Inlet to Hallandale Beach Florida: 1-3 ft
* South Santee River to Surf City North Carolina: 1-2 ft…

…Nicole is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts through Saturday:
* Northwest Bahamas into portions of the Florida Peninsula: 3-5 inches with local maxima of 8 inches.
* Southeast into the central Appalachians and eastern portions of Tennessee, Kentucky, and Ohio: 2-4 inches with local maxima of 6 inches along the Blue Ridge.
* Northern Mid-Atlantic into New England: 1-4 inches…

(For information about operations in the United States, contact GAC North America at [email protected])

Source: National Hurricane Center, Miami FL, Tropical Storm Nicole Intermediate Advisory No.13A issued at 700am EST on 10 November 2022

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