14 Sep 2018 / North & South Carolina, United States
At 800am EDT (1200 UTC), the center of the eye of Hurricane Florence was located by NOAA Doppler weather radars and surface observations to be just inland near latitude 34.1 North, longitude 77.9 West. Florence is moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h). A slow westward to west-southwestward motion is expected today through Saturday.
On the forecast track, the center of Florence will move further inland across extreme southeastern North Carolina and extreme eastern South Carolina today and Saturday. Florence will then move generally northward across the western Carolinas and the central Appalachian Mountains early next week.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast later today and tonight.
Significant weakening is expected over the weekend and into early next week while Florence moves farther inland.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km). A wind gust to 105 mph (169 km/h) recently occurred at the Wilmington Airport, an Amateur Radio operator in Kirkland recently reported a wind gust to 98 mph (158 km/h), and a wind gust of 95 mph (153 km/h) was also recently reported by a Weatherflow private weather station at Federal Point…
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water has the potential to reach the following heights above ground:
- Cape Fear NC to Cape Lookout NC: 7-11ft, with locally higher amounts in the Neuse, Pamlico, Pungo, and Bay Rivers
- Cape Lookout NC to Ocracoke Inlet NC: 6-9ft
- South Santee River SC to Cape Fear NC: 4-6ft
- Ocracoke Inlet NC to Salvo NC: 4-6ft
- Salvo NC to Duck NC:2-4ft
- Edisto Beach SC to South Santee River SC: 2-4ft
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding can vary greatly over short distances...
RAINFALL: Florence is expected to produce heavy and excessive rainfall in the following areas:
- Southeastern coastal North Carolina into far northeastern South Carolina: an additional 20-25 inches, with isolated storm totals of 30-40 inches. This rainfall will produce catastrophic flash flooding and prolonged significant river flooding.
- Remainder of South Carolina and North Carolina into southwest Virginia: 5-10 inches, isolated 15 inches. This rainfall will produce life-threatening flash flooding.
TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible in eastern North Carolina today.
SURF: Swells generated by Florence are affecting Bermuda, portions of the U.S. East Coast, and the northwestern and central Bahamas. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions…
(For information about operations in the United States, contact GAC North America at [email protected])
Source: National Hurricane Center, Miami FL, Hurricane Florence Intermediate Advisory No.60A issued at 800am EDT on Friday, September 14, 2018
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