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04 Sep 2019 / United States

Dorian forecast to move ‘dangerously close’ to Florida & Georgia

At 500am EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Dorian was near latitude 29.2 North, longitude 79.5 West and moving toward the north-northwest near 8mph (13 km/h), with a northwest or north-northwest motion is expected through this morning. A turn toward the north is forecast by this evening, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast on Thursday morning.

On this track, the core of Hurricane Dorian will move dangerously close to the Florida east coast and the Georgia coast through tonight. Its center is forecast to move near or over the coast of South Carolina and North Carolina Thursday through Friday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Dorian is expected to remain a powerful hurricane during the next few days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280km).

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are currently affecting portions of the northeastern coast of Florida, and should begin along the Georgia coast later this morning.
Hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the Hurricane Warning area in Florida today. Tropical storm conditions will begin within the Hurricane Warning area in the Carolinas later today, with hurricane conditions by tonight.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.

RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall totals through Friday:
- Coastal Carolinas: 5-10 inches, isolated 15 inches.
- Atlantic Coast from Daytona Beach, Florida to the Georgia-South Carolina border: 3-6 inches, with isolated 9 inches near the Georgia coast.
- Southeast Virginia: 3-6 inches.
This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods.

SURF: Large swells will affect the northwestern Bahamas, and the entire southeastern United States coast from Florida through North Carolina during the next several days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two are possible near the immediate east coast of Florida through tonight. This risk will shift to along the immediate Georgia coast and the coastal Carolinas today into Thursday.

(For information about operations in the Americas, contact the GAC Houston Hub Agency Center at [email protected])

Source: Extracts from National Hurricane Center, Miami FL, Hurricane Dorian Advisory No.44 issued at 500am EDT on Wednesday 4 September 2019

If quoting any content from Hot Port News, please cite GAC Hot Port News as the source.

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