31 Jul 2015
Disturbance 19 is an area of low pressure centered near 11.5N/32.3W. The disturbance had been drifting westward, but has become stationary and could even move a little eastward later today and tomorrow. An area of thunderstorms that moved off the coast of Africa over the last 18 to 24 hours is expected to merge with Disturbance 19 over the next 2-3 days. The combined system is expected to move west-northwest and could strengthen some. Conditions are expected to be generally unfavorable, and development chances over the next 48 hours remain near zero. Development chances over the next 7 days remain at 20 percent. Disturbance 17 is located along 56W, and is moving west near 14 kts (16 mph). The associated thunderstorms are increasing and it will bring enhanced rainfall and gusty winds to the Lesser Antilles later today and tomorrow. Once in the eastern Caribbean Sea tomorrow, it will encounter increasingly hostile conditions and weaken. Development chances remain less than 5 percent. Disturbance 18 is over the Yucatan Peninsula along 90W and is moving west near 15 kts (17 mph). Development is not expected. Source: Louisiana Maritime Association
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